Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2008 |
HSV
0 - 1
AJA
34%
25%
40%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
AZA
2 - 0
AJA
25%
24%
52%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
AJA
4 - 1
PSV
59%
22%
18%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
VOL
1 - 0
AJA
18%
21%
60%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
AJA
5 - 2
SPA
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
UTR
4 - 0
VIT
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
SCH
3 - 2
UTR
73%
16%
10%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
FEY
5 - 2
UTR
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
UTR
2 - 0
HER
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 2
UTR
44%
27%
30%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |