Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
AJA
5 - 1
SPA
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1999 |
SCH
2 - 2
AJA
27%
25%
49%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
TWE
2 - 1
AJA
24%
25%
52%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1999 |
RJC
0 - 3
AJA
28%
26%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
WIL
1 - 0
UTR
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
UTR
2 - 2
SCH
37%
24%
40%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
SPA
0 - 1
UTR
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1999 |
UTR
1 - 2
FEY
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
UTR
4 - 1
SPA
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |