Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1994 |
SPA
0 - 1
AJA
21%
23%
57%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1994 |
PSV
4 - 1
AJA
47%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1994 |
RKC
0 - 3
AJA
22%
23%
56%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1994 |
AJA
3 - 1
VIT
69%
19%
13%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1994 |
AJA
4 - 1
MVV
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1994 |
UTR
2 - 0
GAE
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1994 |
UTR
1 - 1
WIL
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1994 |
SCH
1 - 0
UTR
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1994 |
GRO
4 - 1
UTR
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1993 |
UTR
3 - 1
VOL
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |