Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
AJA
1 - 1
GRO
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
WIL
3 - 2
AJA
21%
25%
55%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
VIT
1 - 3
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1991 |
SPA
0 - 0
AJA
19%
25%
57%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
FEY
0 - 4
AJA
25%
26%
50%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
UTR
0 - 0
ADO
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1991 |
RJC
1 - 2
UTR
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1991 |
NEC
1 - 1
UTR
45%
28%
28%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
UTR
1 - 1
PSV
17%
24%
59%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
UTR
4 - 1
MVV
52%
25%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |