Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.3%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
GAE
1 - 2
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
AJA
3 - 0
PSV
65%
18%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1982 |
NAC
0 - 4
AJA
15%
21%
64%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1982 |
AJA
5 - 1
SPA
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
AJA
5 - 0
NEC
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
UTR
5 - 0
GRA
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
TWE
2 - 1
UTR
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1982 |
UTR
3 - 0
ZWO
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1982 |
WIL
3 - 0
UTR
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
NAC
1 - 0
UTR
36%
28%
37%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |