Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.9%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
TWE
1 - 2
AJA
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
AJA
1 - 0
VVV
84%
11%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
MUD
2 - 0
AJA
52%
24%
24%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
NAC
0 - 1
AJA
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
AJA
3 - 2
EIN
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
UTR
1 - 0
SPA
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
ADO
0 - 3
UTR
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
UTR
1 - 0
PSV
24%
24%
52%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
HFC
3 - 0
UTR
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
UTR
3 - 2
AZA
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |