Ajax vs Den Bosch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
AJA
1 - 0
UTR
72%
16%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
SPA
0 - 4
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2002 |
AJA
3 - 0
PSV
50%
23%
27%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
AJA
4 - 3
GRO
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
VIT
3 - 1
AJA
35%
26%
39%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
NEC
2 - 1
BOS
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
BOS
3 - 1
RJC
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
BOS
0 - 1
PSV
20%
24%
56%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
UTR
3 - 1
BOS
69%
18%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
BOS
1 - 2
WIL
43%
26%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |