Ajax vs Den Bosch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
7.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1999 |
HHA
0 - 3
AJA
25%
25%
51%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
NEC
1 - 3
AJA
18%
22%
61%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
AJA
4 - 1
FOR
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
WIL
3 - 6
AJA
29%
24%
48%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1999 |
DUK
1 - 3
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
PSV
7 - 0
BOS
82%
12%
6%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
BOS
2 - 3
AZA
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
TWE
3 - 2
BOS
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1999 |
NEC
2 - 0
BOS
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
BOS
3 - 2
UTR
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |