Ajax vs Den Bosch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.8%
Win probability
4.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.4%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.8%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
2.4%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.4%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.9%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.8%
5.3%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.3%
2.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
VVV
1 - 4
AJA
15%
19%
66%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
HFC
1 - 2
AJA
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
AJA
3 - 0
UTR
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1986 |
FEY
3 - 1
AJA
38%
24%
38%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
AJA
5 - 0
GAE
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
RJC
0 - 0
BOS
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
BOS
2 - 2
FOR
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
NEC
1 - 2
BOS
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1986 |
HFC
4 - 1
BOS
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
BOS
1 - 1
UTR
56%
23%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |