Ajax vs Den Bosch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.1%
Win probability
4.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.2%
8-0
1.9%
9-1
0.7%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.7%
7-0
3.5%
8-1
1.4%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
5.2%
6-0
5.6%
7-1
2.7%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8.9%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
4.3%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
13.3%
4-0
9%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.2%
5%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5%
2.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
GRO
1 - 5
AJA
27%
23%
51%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
AJA
0 - 3
HFC
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
ZWO
1 - 1
AJA
17%
22%
61%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
FEY
4 - 1
AJA
51%
23%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1984 |
AJA
5 - 1
FOR
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
BOS
3 - 0
UTR
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1984 |
GRO
1 - 1
BOS
70%
17%
12%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
BOS
2 - 0
EXC
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
BOS
2 - 0
FCD
64%
22%
15%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1984 |
BOS
2 - 1
FOR
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |