Ajax vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
RKC
1 - 2
AJA
5%
13%
82%
|
90 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 0
AJA
10%
17%
73%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ADO
0 - 2
AJA
8%
15%
77%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
VCF
0 - 3
AJA
34%
24%
41%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRO
85%
10%
4%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CHL
1 - 0
NEW
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 4
CHL
17%
22%
61%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
LIL
1 - 2
CHL
24%
24%
51%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
CHL
2 - 0
BHA
77%
15%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
CHL
7 - 1
GRI
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 54 | 35 | 0 |