UCL Group H Round 3

Ajax vs Chelsea analysis

Ajax Chelsea
90 ELO 90
16.6% Tilt 26.5%
103º General ELO ranking 39º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
54.1%
Ajax
21.9%
Draw
23.9%
Chelsea

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
Ajax
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.9%
Win probability
Chelsea
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
+3%
+2%
Chelsea

ELO progression

Ajax
Chelsea
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2019
RKC
RKC Waalwijk
1 - 2
Ajax
AJA
5%
13%
82%
90 59 31 0
09 Oct. 2019
SCH
Heerenveen
1 - 0
Ajax
AJA
10%
17%
73%
89 72 17 +1
06 Oct. 2019
ADO
ADO Den Haag
0 - 2
Ajax
AJA
8%
15%
77%
89 71 18 0
02 Oct. 2019
VCF
Valencia
0 - 3
Ajax
AJA
34%
24%
41%
90 89 1 -1
28 Sep. 2019
AJA
Ajax
2 - 0
Groningen
GRO
85%
10%
4%
90 75 15 0

Matches

Chelsea
Chelsea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2019
CHL
Chelsea
1 - 0
Newcastle
NEW
74%
17%
9%
89 81 8 0
06 Oct. 2019
SOU
Southampton
1 - 4
Chelsea
CHL
17%
22%
61%
89 81 8 0
02 Oct. 2019
LIL
Lille
1 - 2
Chelsea
CHL
24%
24%
51%
89 84 5 0
28 Sep. 2019
CHL
Chelsea
2 - 0
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
77%
15%
7%
89 79 10 0
25 Sep. 2019
CHL
Chelsea
7 - 1
Grimsby Town
GRI
80%
14%
6%
89 54 35 0