Ajax vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
TEL
0 - 1
AJA
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
AJA
4 - 0
VOL
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
AJA
5 - 1
GAE
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
DWS
0 - 1
AJA
14%
23%
63%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
AJA
3 - 0
ADO
81%
12%
6%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1971 |
HOM
1 - 1
CEL
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1971 |
CEL
4 - 1
AIR
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1971 |
STJ
3 - 2
CEL
55%
22%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1971 |
CEL
1 - 0
DUN
69%
18%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1971 |
DUN
1 - 8
CEL
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |