KNVB Beker Semi-finals

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis

Ajax AZ Alkmaar
88 ELO 82
3.1% Tilt 26.6%
106º General ELO ranking 108º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
67.1%
Ajax
19.2%
Draw
13.7%
AZ Alkmaar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
Ajax
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.7%
Win probability
AZ Alkmaar
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2013
AJA
Ajax
1 - 1
ADO Den Haag
ADO
75%
16%
9%
88 71 17 0
21 Feb. 2013
STB
FCSB
2 - 0
Ajax
AJA
18%
21%
61%
89 79 10 -1
17 Feb. 2013
RKC
RKC Waalwijk
0 - 2
Ajax
AJA
14%
19%
67%
88 71 17 +1
14 Feb. 2013
AJA
Ajax
2 - 0
FCSB
STB
75%
17%
9%
88 80 8 0
10 Feb. 2013
AJA
Ajax
1 - 1
Roda JC
RJC
75%
15%
9%
88 69 19 0

Matches

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2013
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
0 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
69%
19%
12%
82 70 12 0
16 Feb. 2013
RJC
Roda JC
2 - 2
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
23%
24%
54%
82 70 12 0
10 Feb. 2013
FEY
Feyenoord
3 - 1
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
46%
24%
29%
82 82 0 0
02 Feb. 2013
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
0 - 1
Groningen
GRO
70%
19%
12%
82 69 13 0
29 Jan. 2013
BOS
Den Bosch
0 - 5
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
17%
22%
60%
82 65 17 0