Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
HFC
1 - 3
AJA
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1980 |
GAE
0 - 1
AJA
22%
25%
54%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
AJA
3 - 0
VIT
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1980 |
NAC
0 - 1
AJA
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1980 |
AJA
7 - 1
WIL
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
AZA
3 - 0
NEC
81%
13%
7%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
AZA
1 - 0
EXC
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
SPA
3 - 3
AZA
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1980 |
AZA
2 - 1
ADO
75%
16%
10%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1980 |
AZA
5 - 1
MVV
80%
14%
7%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |