Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1976 |
TWE
3 - 0
AJA
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
GRA
2 - 1
AJA
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
AJA
0 - 0
ADO
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
EXC
0 - 2
AJA
12%
23%
66%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
AJA
2 - 0
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
AZA
1 - 1
TEL
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1976 |
UTR
1 - 0
AZA
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
MVV
3 - 0
AZA
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
AZA
0 - 1
NEC
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
GAE
1 - 1
AZA
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |