Europa League 1/32
Global 1-2
Ajax vs Austria Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
10.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
VOL
2 - 2
AJA
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
AJA
0 - 0
RKC
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1989 |
AUS
1 - 0
AJA
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
PSV
2 - 0
AJA
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
TWE
2 - 1
AJA
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1989 |
AUS
3 - 0
VIE
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
VIE
0 - 2
AUS
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1989 |
AUS
1 - 0
AJA
34%
25%
41%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
AUS
1 - 0
GRA
82%
12%
6%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1989 |
SWA
4 - 2
AUS
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |