Ajax vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
37.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
UTR
1 - 0
AJA
28%
25%
47%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2003 |
ARS
1 - 1
AJA
69%
19%
13%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 1
GRO
81%
12%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 1
FEY
65%
19%
16%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 0
RJC
78%
15%
8%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
MAC
1 - 5
ARS
23%
24%
53%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2003 |
ARS
1 - 1
AJA
69%
19%
13%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
MUD
0 - 2
ARS
53%
23%
24%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
NEW
1 - 1
ARS
30%
25%
45%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
ARS
2 - 1
FUL
78%
14%
8%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |