Ajax vs Amsterdam FC DWS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
SPA
1 - 3
AJA
39%
25%
37%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
AJA
1 - 0
HER
79%
14%
8%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
GAE
1 - 2
AJA
27%
22%
51%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
AJA
6 - 2
TEL
84%
10%
6%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
PSV
0 - 2
AJA
50%
23%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Amsterdam FC DWS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
DWS
2 - 0
ELI
77%
16%
8%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
FEY
1 - 0
DWS
72%
17%
12%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
DWS
1 - 1
TWE
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
WIL
0 - 1
DWS
38%
25%
38%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
DWS
3 - 1
GRO
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |