Meistriliiga . Jor. 16

Ajax Lasnamäe vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis

Ajax Lasnamäe Vaprus Pärnu
36 ELO 46
21.4% Tilt 16.5%
14917º General ELO ranking 2786º
98º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
36.8%
Ajax Lasnamäe
23.3%
Draw
39.9%
Vaprus Pärnu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
Ajax Lasnamäe
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
39.9%
Win probability
Vaprus Pärnu
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax Lasnamäe
-33%
-2%
Vaprus Pärnu

ELO progression

Ajax Lasnamäe
Vaprus Pärnu
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax Lasnamäe
Ajax Lasnamäe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jun. 2007
AJA
Ajax Lasnamäe
0 - 5
Tulevik Viljandi
TUL
45%
24%
32%
40 45 5 0
09 Jun. 2007
FLO
FC Flora
11 - 0
Ajax Lasnamäe
AJA
86%
10%
4%
41 73 32 -1
05 Jun. 2007
KUR
Kuressaare
0 - 1
Ajax Lasnamäe
AJA
73%
16%
12%
39 47 8 +2
26 May. 2007
AJA
Ajax Lasnamäe
0 - 6
FC TVMK
TVM
9%
18%
74%
39 77 38 0
19 May. 2007
TRA
Narva Trans
2 - 0
Ajax Lasnamäe
AJA
90%
8%
3%
39 75 36 0

Matches

Vaprus Pärnu
Vaprus Pärnu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jun. 2007
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
0 - 3
FC Flora
FLO
11%
17%
72%
45 73 28 0
09 Jun. 2007
TVM
FC TVMK
9 - 0
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
89%
8%
3%
46 77 31 -1
26 May. 2007
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
0 - 3
Narva Trans
TRA
12%
19%
69%
46 75 29 0
19 May. 2007
KUR
Kuressaare
3 - 0
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
55%
22%
23%
47 47 0 -1
12 May. 2007
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
0 - 1
Tallinna Kalev
TAL
43%
24%
34%
48 52 4 -1
X