Cape Town Spurs vs Bidvest Wits analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cape Town Spurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
SWA
3 - 2
AJA
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AJA
1 - 0
FRE
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
AJA
1 - 1
COS
73%
19%
8%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
AMA
4 - 0
AJA
20%
25%
55%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
AJA
3 - 1
FRE
61%
24%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bidvest Wits
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BID
0 - 1
SSU
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BID
1 - 0
AMA
56%
23%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BID
1 - 3
SWA
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
COS
0 - 0
BID
27%
29%
45%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BID
3 - 1
AMA
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |