Ajax Amateurs vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
64.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax Amateurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
SDC
1 - 1
AJA
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
AJA
1 - 1
VOL
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
IJS
4 - 0
AJA
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
SMF
0 - 2
AJA
19%
23%
58%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
GVV
5 - 0
AJA
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
VIT
1 - 1
SPA
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
GRA
1 - 0
VIT
45%
25%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 4
GRO
40%
26%
35%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 1
PSV
24%
27%
49%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
NEC
1 - 0
VIT
50%
25%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |