Ajax Amateurs vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
74%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax Amateurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LIS
1 - 4
AJA
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SCH
1 - 1
AJA
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 2
SPA
18%
21%
61%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
AJA
4 - 0
DEV
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
NEC
4 - 0
FCE
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
NEC
1 - 0
RKC
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
HEL
1 - 4
NEC
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
PSV
1 - 0
NEC
28%
26%
47%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
NEC
5 - 1
FOR
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |