Ajaccio vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 1
AJA
30%
27%
43%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
AJA
0 - 2
GUI
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 0
ROD
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
TRO
1 - 0
AJA
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
AJA
0 - 2
CLE
32%
28%
39%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 2
AUX
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ROD
3 - 0
VAL
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 4
MET
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 0
TFC
29%
26%
44%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
CLE
4 - 0
VAL
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |