Ajaccio vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
27.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
STL
0 - 0
AJA
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 0
LHA
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 0
VAN
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2010 |
ETG
1 - 1
AJA
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
AJA
0 - 0
MET
33%
29%
38%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
NAN
2 - 1
GRE
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2010 |
REI
2 - 1
NAN
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
MET
1 - 1
NAN
50%
28%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
NAN
2 - 0
VAN
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
STL
0 - 0
NAN
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |