Ajaccio vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
61.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
BAS
1 - 1
AJA
65%
22%
14%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 2
NIC
38%
29%
33%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
AJA
0 - 0
PSG
26%
29%
46%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
LIL
0 - 0
AJA
60%
25%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 4
LYO
18%
25%
57%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
MON
8 - 3
DEP
42%
26%
32%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
MON
4 - 2
LMU
76%
16%
9%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
MON
34%
26%
39%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
SOC
1 - 1
MON
30%
26%
44%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2003 |
DEP
1 - 0
MON
62%
21%
18%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |