Ligue 2 round 5

Ajaccio vs Lorient analysis

Ajaccio Lorient
66 ELO 74
6.4% Tilt -2.7%
1421º General ELO ranking 260º
42º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
29.8%
Ajaccio
24.9%
Draw
45.3%
Lorient

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
Ajaccio
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45.3%
Win probability
Lorient
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajaccio
-1%
+9%
Lorient

ELO progression

Ajaccio
Lorient
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajaccio
Ajaccio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2018
MET
Metz
3 - 1
Ajaccio
AJA
59%
23%
18%
67 72 5 0
14 Aug. 2018
PFC
Paris FC
0 - 0
Ajaccio
AJA
33%
26%
40%
67 67 0 0
10 Aug. 2018
AJA
Ajaccio
2 - 3
Sochaux
SOC
58%
23%
19%
67 63 4 0
03 Aug. 2018
BEZ
Béziers
0 - 1
Ajaccio
AJA
40%
27%
33%
67 65 2 0
27 Jul. 2018
AJA
Ajaccio
0 - 1
Troyes
TRO
47%
25%
28%
67 68 1 0

Matches

Lorient
Lorient
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2018
LOR
Lorient
3 - 1
Valenciennes
VAL
60%
23%
18%
74 64 10 0
14 Aug. 2018
VAL
Valenciennes
0 - 1
Lorient
LOR
25%
22%
53%
74 65 9 0
10 Aug. 2018
GAZ
Gazélec Ajaccio
1 - 3
Lorient
LOR
21%
24%
56%
73 61 12 +1
06 Aug. 2018
CHA
Chateauroux
1 - 2
Lorient
LOR
33%
25%
42%
73 67 6 0
28 Jul. 2018
LOR
Lorient
0 - 0
Le Havre
LHA
50%
26%
24%
73 71 2 0