Ajaccio vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
54.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 1
AJA
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 0
GIR
20%
25%
56%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
AJA
3 - 1
LYO
13%
22%
65%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ETG
1 - 1
AJA
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 1
VAL
28%
28%
44%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
LIL
2 - 0
REN
59%
22%
20%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
LYO
1 - 3
LIL
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
LIL
1 - 1
TRO
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PSG
1 - 0
LIL
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 3
LIL
8%
21%
71%
|
88 | 47 | 41 | 0 |