Ajaccio vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
BRE
0 - 1
AJA
38%
29%
33%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 0
FCL
59%
25%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
CAE
4 - 0
AJA
56%
26%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 0
IST
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
FCG
1 - 0
AJA
30%
30%
40%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 1
LHA
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2006 |
LUS
1 - 0
BAS
35%
28%
38%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
BAS
0 - 0
GUI
54%
26%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2006 |
TOU
0 - 3
BAS
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 2
CHA
50%
25%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |