Ajaccio vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
MET
1 - 0
AJA
57%
25%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2005 |
ASN
1 - 1
AJA
48%
27%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
AJA
0 - 0
LIL
27%
30%
43%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
NIC
3 - 0
AJA
54%
26%
19%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 1
LYO
14%
24%
63%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
BAS
0 - 0
NAN
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
SOC
1 - 0
BAS
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 1
LEN
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
LEN
2 - 1
BAS
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 2
MON
24%
28%
49%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | -1 |