Auxerre III vs Belfort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
TRO
3 - 2
AUX
45%
25%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
AUX
2 - 3
SAI
67%
19%
15%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
BES
2 - 2
AUX
30%
26%
45%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
AUX
3 - 0
CHA
75%
16%
10%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ILL
0 - 0
AUX
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Belfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
BEL
3 - 0
SEL
65%
20%
16%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
MET
1 - 0
BEL
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
JAR
1 - 1
BEL
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 0
SAR
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
SAI
3 - 2
BEL
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -2 |