Aische vs Ligny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aische
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ROC
1 - 4
AIS
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AIS
0 - 0
NIS
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SPY
0 - 2
AIS
28%
21%
51%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
AIS
1 - 0
GRA
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PRO
1 - 1
AIS
24%
21%
55%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ligny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
LIG
1 - 3
BIE
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LOY
3 - 2
LIG
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LIG
2 - 2
JEU
20%
21%
59%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LIG
3 - 2
ROC
48%
23%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
NIS
0 - 4
LIG
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +2 |