Aiolikos vs AE Larisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
67.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
18.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.9%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
11º
11º
49
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 36 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 36 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 35 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 21 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
52% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
48% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aiolikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
ANA
3 - 1
MYT
56%
25%
20%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
MYT
1 - 3
MKN
54%
25%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
MYT
3 - 0
ANA
30%
27%
44%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +3 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MAK
1 - 2
MYT
54%
25%
21%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
GIO
2 - 0
MYT
35%
29%
36%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
AE Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
LAR
1 - 0
IRA
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AEK
3 - 0
LAR
26%
28%
46%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
LAR
3 - 0
TIL
79%
16%
5%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 1
KAM
76%
18%
6%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 1
PNT
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |