Q. Europa League Preliminary round Final
Global 3-0
AIK Solna vs Gomel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AIK Solna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2000 |
AIK
3 - 0
FRO
60%
24%
17%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2000 |
AIK
0 - 1
GÖT
40%
27%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2000 |
GÖT
2 - 2
AIK
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2000 |
HEL
1 - 4
AIK
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2000 |
AIK
2 - 1
GIF
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Gomel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
GOM
0 - 2
DNM
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
GOM
3 - 0
NAF
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2000 |
LID
0 - 3
GOM
19%
24%
57%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2000 |
SLM
3 - 2
GOM
62%
21%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2000 |
GOM
0 - 0
FCS
77%
15%
7%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | -1 |