Aigle Noir vs Mirebalais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
30.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
DON
0 - 0
AIG
50%
28%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ASS
0 - 0
AIG
55%
25%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
AIG
1 - 0
VIC
43%
29%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
GON
1 - 0
AIG
43%
30%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
AIG
0 - 4
VIO
46%
29%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mirebalais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
JSC
0 - 2
ASM
39%
28%
34%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ASM
0 - 0
BAL
45%
29%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
ASM
3 - 0
ASC
43%
30%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
TEM
2 - 0
ASM
50%
27%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
ASM
0 - 1
DAC
47%
28%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |