Ahlerstedt vs Ottersberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahlerstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AHO
1 - 0
TSE
44%
22%
34%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ROT
2 - 1
AHO
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CEL
3 - 1
AHO
11%
17%
72%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
AHO
1 - 2
TJS
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
HAU
2 - 0
AHO
47%
22%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ottersberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
HAU
5 - 2
OTT
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
OTT
1 - 0
VER
23%
22%
55%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
THA
4 - 1
OTT
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
OTT
0 - 2
SEL
44%
23%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
MEC
2 - 1
OTT
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |