Ahlafors vs Herrestads AIF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
9º
6º
28
3º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 56 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 46 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 46 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 45 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 45 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 39 |
6º
|
32% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 35 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 33 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 33 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 30 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 30 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 24 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 23 |
13º
|
44% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 19 |
14º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 17.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 80% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahlafors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
KUM
2 - 4
AIF
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
AIF
0 - 0
LID
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SKS
2 - 1
AIF
15%
17%
69%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
AIF
2 - 0
VAN
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BKF
1 - 1
AIF
25%
22%
53%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FBK
2 - 3
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
HER
3 - 3
VAN
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
STE
58%
23%
20%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 1
HER
57%
21%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
VFK
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |