CD Águila vs Municipal Limeño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
6º
1º
28
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ONC
1 - 2
AGU
28%
28%
43%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
AGU
4 - 0
CDP
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CDD
2 - 2
AGU
30%
29%
41%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 2
SAN
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 2
FIR
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FUE
1 - 2
MUN
15%
22%
62%
|
59 | 18 | 41 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
MUN
2 - 1
ONC
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CDP
1 - 0
MUN
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MUN
3 - 2
CDD
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MUN
1 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |