CD Águila vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 2
AGU
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 1
ALA
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FAS
0 - 1
AGU
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
AGU
0 - 0
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MUN
0 - 0
AGU
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
MUN
0 - 0
ALI
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 1
BAL
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ALI
0 - 0
MET
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
ALA
0 - 4
ALI
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 1
VIS
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |