Águias do Moradal vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
57.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águias do Moradal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
ADM
6 - 1
FAY
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 0
ADM
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 1
ADM
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ADM
0 - 1
UDL
18%
22%
61%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ADM
10 - 0
PED
86%
10%
4%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
BEN
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SER
4 - 0
GAV
81%
14%
5%
|
54 | 21 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
UDL
1 - 0
SER
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SER
1 - 2
CAL
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
ELE
2 - 3
SER
27%
25%
47%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |