Aguia de Maraba vs Moto Club MA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 0
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 3
AGU
17%
23%
60%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
MOT
2 - 0
AGU
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 0
TOC
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 2
PAY
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
TOC
1 - 1
MOT
12%
22%
66%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
MOT
0 - 0
TOC
81%
14%
6%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
MOT
2 - 0
AGU
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
MOT
16%
23%
62%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
MOT
2 - 1
SAM
21%
23%
57%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |