Aguadulce C.F. vs UD Morón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
53.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguadulce C.F.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
AGU
43%
24%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 0
LAN
45%
23%
32%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
FUE
1 - 0
AGU
55%
22%
23%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
AGU
3 - 0
CAN
46%
23%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CDA
1 - 0
AGU
67%
18%
15%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
UD Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 2
ELR
46%
22%
32%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 1
LUI
74%
15%
12%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
LAR
0 - 1
MOR
30%
26%
44%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MOR
3 - 1
EST
46%
22%
32%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ELT
2 - 1
MOR
62%
20%
18%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |