Premier de Ascenso - Apertura Final Stage Reserves Semi-finals

Global 4-2

Aguacateros CDU vs Lobos ULMX analysis

Aguacateros CDU Lobos ULMX
63 ELO 43
24.4% Tilt 18%
3080º General ELO ranking 5488º
53º Country ELO ranking 95º
ELO win probability
76.3%
Aguacateros CDU
14.9%
Draw
8.8%
Lobos ULMX

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
Aguacateros CDU
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.8%
Win probability
Lobos ULMX
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aguacateros CDU
-37%
+13%
Lobos ULMX

ELO progression

Aguacateros CDU
Lobos ULMX
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aguacateros CDU
Aguacateros CDU
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 2024
LUL
Lobos ULMX
0 - 1
Aguacateros CDU
AGU
22%
22%
57%
62 44 18 0
30 Nov. 2024
AGU
Aguacateros CDU
0 - 2
Aguacateros de Peribán
ADP
65%
20%
15%
63 56 7 -1
24 Nov. 2024
MFC
Mexicali FC
2 - 0
Aguacateros CDU
AGU
16%
20%
64%
64 39 25 -1
16 Nov. 2024
AGU
Aguacateros CDU
0 - 1
Cimarrones de Sonora
CIM
33%
25%
43%
64 73 9 0
09 Nov. 2024
AGU
Aguacateros CDU
1 - 3
Irapuato
IRA
25%
24%
52%
65 77 12 -1

Matches

Lobos ULMX
Lobos ULMX
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 2024
LUL
Lobos ULMX
0 - 1
Aguacateros CDU
AGU
22%
22%
57%
44 62 18 0
01 Dec. 2024
LUL
Lobos ULMX
2 - 2
Halcones de Zapopan
HDZ
50%
24%
26%
44 45 1 0
24 Nov. 2024
TCS
Tapachula FC
1 - 1
Lobos ULMX
LUL
20%
21%
60%
44 24 20 0
17 Nov. 2024
JAG
Jaguares FC
2 - 1
Lobos ULMX
LUL
71%
19%
10%
44 76 32 0
10 Nov. 2024
REB
Reboceros de la Piedad
1 - 1
Lobos ULMX
LUL
68%
19%
13%
44 60 16 0