Água Santa vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
GSP
0 - 1
AGU
11%
17%
72%
|
51 | 15 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
AGU
0 - 0
POR
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
POR
3 - 1
AGU
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
AGU
3 - 1
GSP
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 9 | 43 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
AGU
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 1
POR
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
3 - 5
GSP
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 13 | 34 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
GSP
2 - 2
NAC
11%
17%
72%
|
47 | 9 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
POR
4 - 0
NAC
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
AGU
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |