AD Ferroviaria vs CD Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Ferroviaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
ALC
4 - 3
FER
44%
22%
35%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
FER
3 - 0
MER
67%
17%
16%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
GIR
3 - 2
FER
62%
19%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
FER
1 - 2
CON
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
FER
0 - 0
SAB
49%
22%
29%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
MAN
2 - 3
SLA
32%
22%
46%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
CDT
3 - 2
MAN
72%
15%
13%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |