AGOVV Apeldoorn vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGOVV Apeldoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
APE
1 - 2
AJA
12%
17%
71%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
1 - 2
APE
32%
24%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
APE
2 - 3
BVV
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 2
APE
31%
24%
45%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
APE
2 - 1
FCO
61%
21%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
PSV
2 - 1
GRA
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
GRA
2 - 0
FOR
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
GRA
2 - 1
TEL
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
ZWO
2 - 2
GRA
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
GRA
4 - 0
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |