Agoncillo vs Casalarreina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
5º
4º
37
7º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
6º
|
94% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
2.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
71.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
51% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
49% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Agoncillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
NAX
1 - 0
AGO
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AGO
2 - 0
CDC
25%
24%
51%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
AGO
1 - 2
OYO
41%
25%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
RAP
3 - 0
AGO
16%
21%
63%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
AGO
1 - 2
CDC
30%
25%
44%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Casalarreina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
BAL
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 3
VAR
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NAX
4 - 0
CAS
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
NAX
1 - 0
CAS
56%
24%
21%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
NAX
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |