AGF Aarhus vs Vejle BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
4º
11º
10º
4
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
9 | 34 |
1º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 33 |
2º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 32 |
3º
|
9% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 32 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 32 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 32 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 31 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 29 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 29 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
5 | 28 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 27 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
4 | 23 |
12º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
35.5% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
64.5% | 87.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
FCK
2 - 3
AGF
40%
26%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
AGF
0 - 0
MID
35%
25%
39%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
AGF
1 - 2
RAN
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
SON
1 - 1
AGF
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
AJA
1 - 1
AGF
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Vejle BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
BIF
2 - 1
VEJ
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
VEJ
4 - 0
OBK
31%
24%
45%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
FCK
2 - 0
VEJ
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
VEJ
1 - 1
RAN
31%
25%
45%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
VEJ
3 - 1
FRE
36%
24%
41%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |