1st Division round 26

AGF Aarhus vs Thisted analysis

AGF Aarhus Thisted
65 ELO 53
13.5% Tilt 8.7%
267º General ELO ranking 3999º
Country ELO ranking 45º
ELO win probability
75.5%
AGF Aarhus
15.3%
Draw
9.2%
Thisted

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
AGF Aarhus
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.2%
Win probability
Thisted
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AGF Aarhus
-12%
+8%
Thisted

ELO progression

AGF Aarhus
Thisted
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AGF Aarhus
AGF Aarhus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 May. 2007
KBK
Køge BK
2 - 3
AGF Aarhus
AGF
52%
24%
25%
64 65 1 0
20 May. 2007
FRE
Frem 1886
1 - 1
AGF Aarhus
AGF
37%
26%
38%
64 58 6 0
13 May. 2007
AGF
AGF Aarhus
1 - 0
Akademisk Boldklub
AKA
78%
15%
7%
64 51 13 0
05 May. 2007
AAF
Aarhus Fremad
1 - 1
AGF Aarhus
AGF
23%
24%
52%
64 52 12 0
29 Apr. 2007
AGF
AGF Aarhus
3 - 1
Herfølge BK
HER
64%
20%
16%
63 57 6 +1

Matches

Thisted
Thisted
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 May. 2007
THI
Thisted
1 - 5
Kolding FC
KOL
38%
25%
37%
54 59 5 0
20 May. 2007
HER
Herfølge BK
1 - 1
Thisted
THI
56%
23%
21%
54 58 4 0
13 May. 2007
THI
Thisted
0 - 0
SonderjyskE
SON
31%
25%
44%
54 61 7 0
06 May. 2007
FRE
Fredericia
3 - 1
Thisted
THI
56%
23%
22%
55 59 4 -1
29 Apr. 2007
THI
Thisted
1 - 1
Brabrand
BRA
59%
22%
19%
55 50 5 0