AGF Aarhus vs Randers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
4º
11º
8º
7
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 37 |
1º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 35 |
2º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 34 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 33 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
|
3º
|
7 | 32 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 32 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 28 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
|
7º
|
5 | 28 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 28 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 27 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 27 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 23 |
12º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
31% | 64.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
69% | 35.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
SON
1 - 1
AGF
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
AJA
1 - 1
AGF
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
AGF
0 - 0
OBK
41%
24%
36%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
AGF
2 - 1
ACH
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
AGF
1 - 0
VEJ
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
VEJ
1 - 1
RAN
29%
25%
46%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
RAN
0 - 2
OBK
45%
23%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
RAN
1 - 2
HOB
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
HAN
0 - 0
RAN
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
MID
2 - 3
RAN
50%
22%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |