AGF Aarhus vs Randers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
8º
3º
35
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
SKI
0 - 2
AGF
12%
19%
69%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LYN
0 - 0
AGF
20%
24%
56%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AGF
1 - 1
SIF
46%
25%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AGF
4 - 2
FCN
37%
26%
38%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
AAB
0 - 4
AGF
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
RAN
5%
13%
83%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RAN
2 - 2
MID
27%
23%
50%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
FCN
1 - 1
RAN
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 10
RAN
4%
11%
86%
|
78 | 30 | 48 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RAN
1 - 0
AAB
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |